Today was a $550 event and started so well; after the first break I was at $5175 and we started at $2000. So in two rounds had more then doubled up. By the end of the 3rd round I was hovering just over $7000 so I felt very good about my game I had only played 7 hands in the first 3 rounds and won 6 out of 7. Always getting in with the best of it and then this hand came up.
I was on the button and a guy who was playing about 80% of the hands was very reckless and was not raising with good hands so when he bet $700 in middle position I was pretty happy to everyone to fold around to me; I looked down at Pockets JJ. So I called his bet and with the blinds at 100/200 the big blind called the additional 500.
The flop came down 267 with three different suites so a beautiful flop for me. The big blind checked and so did the crazy player. So I fired out $2100 into a $2200 pot; leaving me with about 4000 left in my stack. The big blind instantly folded and then the crazy guy thought for a while and then moved all in.
Now here is where I go into the tank (which means to think about your hand and what to do) I tried to replay the hand in my head. This guy was in middle position and raised so the hands based on his previous plays should be either a middle pair 88,99,1010 or something like AK, AQ, AJ, KQ; or even suited connectors so he could have 89, for a straight draw. With a big pair he usually limped in and if he had three of kind he probably would have bet out first to make sure he didnt give me a free card. So I had to think my hand was good, so based on all these hands I would be a favorite to any of them. and now there is 8700 in the pot and I am getting 2 to one on my money and I think I am a favorite. as if he had any of these hands at worst I would be a 3/2 favorite so I call.
I flip over my JJ and ask him if he has 2 overcards and he says yes so I am like great I made a good read on him as he flipped over AA. oops. BAD READ!!! I still had a chance after the 4th card as a 8 came on the turn so with one card to come I had a 12% chance of winning. Sometimes you go on your feeling, sometimes you go on the odds. and sometimes you go back to your hotel and get a good night sleep to win the next day.
I am in the latter.
Until tomorrow...
Wednesday, August 8, 2007
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